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When you buy stocks it is very important to understand derivatives criticisms.

Derivatives criticisms

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Derivatives are often subject to the following criticisms:

Possible large losses

The use of derivatives can result in large losses because of the use of leverage, or borrowing. Derivatives allow investors to earn large returns from small movements in the underlying asset's price. However, investors could lose large amounts if the price of the underlying moves against them significantly. There have been several instances of massive losses in derivative markets, such as:

  • The need to recapitalize insurer American International Group (AIG) with $85 billion of debt provided by the US federal government. An AIG subsidiary had lost more than $18 billion over the preceding three quarters on Credit Default Swaps (CDS) it had written. It was reported that the recapitalization was necessary because further losses were foreseeable over the next few quarters.
  • The loss of $7.2 Billion by Société Générale in January 2008 through mis-use of futures contracts.
  • The loss of US$6.4 billion in the failed fund Amaranth Advisors, which was long natural gas in September 2006 when the price plummeted.
  • The loss of US$4.6 billion in the failed fund Long-Term Capital Management in 1998.
  • The bankruptcy of Orange County, CA in 1994, the largest municipal bankruptcy in U.S. history. On December 6, 1994, Orange County declared Chapter 9 bankruptcy, from which it emerged in June 1995. The county lost about $1.6 billion through derivatives trading. Orange County was neither bankrupt nor insolvent at the time; however, because of the strategy the county employed it was unable to generate the cash flows needed to maintain services. Orange County is a good example of what happens when derivatives are used incorrectly and positions liquidated in an unplanned manner; had they not liquidated they would not have lost any money as their positions rebounded. Potentially problematic use of interest-rate derivatives by US municipalities has continued in recent years. See, for example:
  • The Nick Leeson affair in 1994

Members of President Clinton's Working Group on Financial Markets: Larry Summers, Alan Greenspan, Arthur Levitt, and Robert Rubin, have been criticized for torpedoing an effort to regulate the derivatives' markets, and thereby helping to bring down the financial markets in Fall 2008.

President George W. Bush has also been criticized because he was President for 8 years preceding the 2008 meltdown and did nothing to regulate derivative trading. Bush has stated that deregulation was one of the core tenets of his political philosophy.

Counter-party risk

Derivatives (especially swaps) expose investors to counter-party risk.

For example, suppose a person wanting a fixed interest rate loan for his business, but finding that banks only offer variable rates, swaps payments with another business who wants a variable rate, synthetically creating a fixed rate for the person. However if the second business goes bankrupt, it can't pay its variable rate and so the first business will lose its fixed rate and will be paying a variable rate again. If interest rates have increased, it is possible that the first business may be adversely affected, because it may not be prepared to pay the higher variable rate.

Different types of derivatives have different levels of risk for this effect. For example, standardized stock options by law require the party at risk to have a certain amount deposited with the exchange, showing that they can pay for any losses; Banks who help businesses swap variable for fixed rates on loans may do credit checks on both parties. However in private agreements between two companies, for example, there may not be benchmarks for performing due diligence and risk analysis.

Unsuitably high risk for small/inexperienced investors

Derivatives pose unsuitably high amounts of risk for small or inexperienced investors. Because derivatives offer the possibility of large rewards, they offer an attraction even to individual investors. However, speculation in derivatives often assumes a great deal of risk, requiring commensurate experience and market knowledge, especially for the small investor, a reason why some financial planners advise against the use of these instruments. Derivatives are complex instruments devised as a form of insurance, to transfer risk among parties based on their willingness to assume additional risk, or hedge against it.

Large notional value

  • Derivatives typically have a large notional value. As such, there is the danger that their use could result in losses that the investor would be unable to compensate for. The possibility that this could lead to a chain reaction ensuing in an economic crisis, has been pointed out by famed investor Warren Buffett in Berkshire Hathaway's 2002 annual report. Buffett called them 'financial weapons of mass destruction.' The problem with derivatives is that they control an increasingly larger notional amount of assets and this may lead to distortions in the real capital and equities markets. Investors begin to look at the derivatives markets to make a decision to buy or sell securities and so what was originally meant to be a market to transfer risk now becomes a leading indicator.

Leverage of an economy's debt

Derivatives massively leverage the debt in an economy, making it ever more difficult for the underlying real economy to service its debt obligations, thereby curtailing real economic activity, which can cause a recession or even depression. In the view of Marriner S. Eccles, U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman from November, 1934 to February, 1948, too high a level of debt was one of the primary causes of the 1920s-30s Great Depression. (See Berkshire Hathaway Annual Report for 2002)


Derivatives criticisms Topic - Derivatives

A derivative is a financial instrument that is derived from some other asset, index, event, value or condition (known as the underlying asset). Rather than trade or exchange the underlying asset itself, derivative traders enter into an agreement to exchange cash or assets over time based on the underlying asset. A simple example is a futures contract: an agreement to exchange the underlying asset at a future date.


 
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Securities products and services offered by Transcend Capital, LLC, a registered broker dealer, Member FINRA/SIPC.
6500 River Place Blvd., Bldg. 4, Ste. 102, Austin, TX 78730. 512-623-7774.

The information contained on this Web site does not constitute an offer to buy or sell, or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. No information found on this Web site should be construed by any consumer as investment advice, tax advice or a recommendation or solicitation to effect or attempt to effect transactions in securities.

Symbols and price and volume data shown here are for illustrative purposes only. Transcend Capital and/or its employees and/or officers may have positions in securities referenced herein, and may, as principal or agent, buy from or sell to clients. Account access, trade executions, and system response may be adversely affected by market conditions, quote delays, system performance, and other factors.

Any specific securities, or types of securities, used as examples are for demonstration purposes only. None of the information provided should be considered a recommendation or solicitation to invest in, or liquidate, a particular security or type of security.

Options carry a high level of risk and are not suitable for all investors. Please read the Options Disclosures Document Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options before considering any option transaction

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Diversification and Asset Allocation strategies do not ensure a profit and cannot protect against losses in a declining market. While an investment in a specific sector may involve a greater degree of risk than an investment with greater diversification, strategies that include broadly diversified portfolios do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses.

Additional advanced options education is available from the OIC.

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